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Councillors Smith and Rippingale declared an ‘Other registerable interest’, relating to their membership of the Colchester Borough Homes Board. It was confirmed that they could participate in this item, as it did not include any decisions relating to Colchester Borough Homes and would only involve making recommendations to Cabinet.
Councillor Julie Young, Deputy Leader of the Council and Portfolio Holder for Housing, introduced the proposed updates which aimed to ensure that the Plan remained sustainable. This would maintain the Housing Revenue Account [HRA] so that the Council could continue to provide services and the repairs upon which residents depended. The Portfolio Holder thanked all residents who had taken part in the consultation carried out on this review and update. All residential properties needed to hold an EPC [Energy Performance Certificate] of grade C or better by 2030 at the latest; all properties also had to meet the Decent Homes standard. There were currently more than 2,400 on the housing register and more than 500 in need of temporary accommodation.
The minimum level of reserves would be increased to 10% of turnover.
Philip Sullivan, Chief Executive of Colchester Borough Homes [CBH] presented an overview of the Business Plan update, picking out the key changes to the Plan which had last been presented to the Panel in July 2026. Investment had been increased to allow quicker acquisitions and a faster programme of making necessary improvements to EPC ratings. The data on interest rates were outlined and the interest rate cover and borrowing decision process were summarised.
Councillor Sunnucks attended and, with permission of the Chairman, addressed the Panel to outline his concerns with the Plan, including the increase in capital expenditure. The Panel was asked to look at the prudential aspect of this increase, with Councillor Sunnucks stating that the Council’s capital investment programme was bigger than those of neighbouring local authorities, then stating that the Council’s HRA borrowing was shown to be above the borrowing cap for the coming ten years. Councillor Sunnucks told the Panel that the Council was using a different definition of ‘interest cover’ than was used by the private sector or housing associations and accused this of being economically wrong, stating that Savills had warned about this. Concern was raised about the Council’s housing management costs, which were stated by Councillor Sunnucks to be rising and much out of line with comparative landlords.
A Panel member added concern that the report stated that the Heart of Greenstead project would not necessarily deliver value for money for the HRA in financial
Terms.
The Chief Executive of CBH described the approval of the coming year’s acquisitions as having been laid out in the Business Plan written in July 2025. This was proposed for acceleration due to the housing crisis and the benefit to the Council in reducing demand for temporary accommodation. It would also be more cost effective for the General Fund.
Assurance was given by the Chief Executive of CBH that the borrowing described in the Plan could be serviced, and that the graph provided in the report was based on a prudent interest cover ratio. The Council would need to continue to manage the associated risk. The Panel was told that the new debt projection was lower than had been projected in July 2025, and management costs were comparable or lower than at similar housing providers.
A Panel member welcomed the acceleration of the acquisitions mentioned in the report, stating that borrowing £4m at an early stage would save more money, by increasing the housing stock, than it would cost the Council in interest costs. It would also help families in temporary accommodation to gain stability. The Panel member agreed that Colchester Borough Homes’ management costs were lower than comparable providers, according to Savills, and praised the organisation’s work to protect PVs [photovoltaic panels] and to meet the Decent Homes Plus standard. Another member added that earlier acquisition would help to increase rent generation at an earlier stage, and that the Council must be mindful of human elements, such as cases where victims of domestic violence were currently having to live in temporary accommodation.
The point was raised that any increase in rent charges would have an impact on the work of the CBH FIT [Financial Inclusion Team] and the Chief Executive of CBH was asked if the Business Plan included the projected costs from bad debts, and from the need for FIT funding. The Chief Executive emphasised the value of the CBH FIT and gave assurance that the effects of any increase in rent levels would be tracked, possibly leading to increased funding for the FIT.
Julia Hovells, Associate Director, Affordable Housing Division, Savills, explained that the bad debt provision was linked to a percentage of rent income, currently at 0.75% of rent income. This would be reviewed regularly. The Portfolio argued that, in comparison with open market rents, it was very good value for money to live in a Council property. Geoff Beales, Strategic Housing and Assurance Manager, highlighted that the Council would be charging affordable rental rates on the housing that was built or acquired, rather than the social housing rental rates. The rent collection performance of CBH was always very good.
The Panel discussed the need for flexibility in the Plan, with one member making the point that a case could be made for investing, but that the Council would need to show the social good expected to result from doing so. The Panel member continued that the Council was not operated to be a ‘for profit’ business, and in their view the Plan therefore made sense as proposed.
Another Panel member noted that the Council charged rental rates below the market rate, and argued that this was likely not the most cost-effective way to address housing needs, and that the Council was gambling with taxpayers’ money and increasing its debt, which the member believed could get even worse.
Suggestions of using modular housing were discussed; the Portfolio Holder drew the Panel’s attention to an in-depth analysis on the use of modular options which had been carried out, with findings that traditional housing approaches would be the better way to proceed. Modular housing would require looking at supply chains and gaining assurance that they could deliver. It was not considered appropriate at present, but could be re-examined in the future.
A concern was raised that there might be much that happened over the coming 30 years which could derail the Plan. The Chief Executive of CBH informed the Panel that all it was normal practice to set a plan for the coming 30 years, with all housing associations having such a business plan. These were live documents, kept under review and subject to updating. If there were not to be increases in permanent housing, then the Council would need to increase its use of temporary accommodation; expediting the acquisition of new housing would help those who needed permanent accommodation from the Council.
A Panel member detailed considerations about tenants, positing that they would be pleased at much of the content, but raised concerns regarding the long-term borrowing set out, and the rental increases of CPI [consumer price index] plus one percentage point. It was accepted that investment issues needed to be balanced, but the Panel member had concern that the proposals would make tenants poorer. A project plan was urged for the additional borrowing proposed. The Panel considered a member’s suggestion that the Panel recommend boundaries for Cabinet to draw. There was much investment planned for the first four years; a suggestion was made that extra reserves should be assigned for contingencies, should the Council’s assumptions turn out to be incorrect. The risk profile was described by a member as being uncertain for the first ten years.
The Chief Executive of CBH was questioned as to what would happen if there were an increase in applicants for housing by year five of the Plan, and whether there would be increased instability over time, with uncertainty that borrowing could be repaid over future years. A member of the Panel said that reassurance had been sought from Savills, but that this had not been obtained. The Chief Executive of CBH agreed that there would be benefits for tenants, with much content to benefit them and to ensure that CBH met its regulatory burdens. Further to that, the Panel were briefed as to how the investments would be accounted for. Benefits to the General Fund would be indirect, with long-term housing replacing some of the temporary accommodation use. The decision had been made to propose taking on additional risk, but with mitigations put in place. The Council took the view that the first four years were shown to be affordable and manageable, with regular review. Julia Hovells, Associate Director, Affordable Housing Division (Savills) expressed Savills’ support for the proposals, describing the affordability and the risk considerations. There was a reliance on other social housing providers, as there was across the UK. An announcement regarding rent convergence was awaited, but this programme was described as being set to increase capacity in the future.
Two Panel members raised their concerns about the 30 years of the Plan, and their view that housing demand would continue and that the investment proposed would not solve the issue. Another member gave the view that each potential acquisition should be viability tested, ensuring that they paid back within 25-30 years and would only proceed if this could be shown. Another comment from the Panel was that the 30-year plan was a mechanism for financial planning, and when looking at the investments planned for years one to four, these would be affordable if carried out properly and assuming that investment cases would be updated over time, to reflect changes in the wider situation.
The Portfolio Holder for Housing noted Government funding being made available, announced the previous Summer, and spoke of the expectation that stock loss would be turned around, with future lowering of ‘right to buy’ discounts and an increase in the time tenants have to be in a property before becoming eligible for ‘right to buy’ purchase. The Plan would be reviewed regularly and in a year’s time.
A Panel member gave their view that there would need to be an increase in rental income for the business case to work, with surpluses after year 10, to pay down debts. They went on to argue that there was not enough focus on management costs, or plans to reduce costs if rental income were to drop. The Chief Executive of CBH clarified that the increasing of stock was discretionary and that the Council had agreed that this was the right course to pursue, but that this did not have to be included in the Plan following Year Four. When the Council had approved the Business Plan in July 2025, the approach had moved from ‘just in time’ to the ‘Decent Homes Plus’ standard. CBH then moved to a management restructure to proactively reduce costs.
Concerns were addressed regarding the report content about the Heart of Greenstead project not necessarily delivering value for money for the HRA. The Portfolio Holder laid out the project being part of the Town Deal programme. There had not yet been a huge amount of work done on this project. It was known that more housing was needed and the viability work would be done on this. The Chief Executive of CBH added that this would be for the Business Plan’s purposes, showing provision, assumptions, prudence and affordability. Any residential redevelopment would need robust appraisal first, and there was expected to be wider regeneration benefits for the area, for those in temporary accommodation and for the General Fund. The financial appraisal stage had not yet been reached.
Councillor Sunnucks, with consent of the Chairman, spoke to urge the Panel to make a recommendation to Cabinet that provided warnings and advice, and that the Council must respect its rules. Councillor Sunnucks gave his view that the Council could not service this debt, as he believed that the figures for major repairs were not accurate and the Council was only obeying the accounting rules applicable to it, rather than heeding the economic situation. Furthermore, Councillor Sunnucks gave the view that the debt capacity projected was overstated and not sustainable. Councillor Sunnucks argued that stock acquisition would only transfer housing from private to public ownership and would increase the Council’s debt. The Heart of Greenstead project would be hard to achieve, but Councillor Sunnucks stated that he would support it going outside of the bounds set.
Julia Hovells, Savills, emphasised that the Business plan showed sufficient resources to service the planned debt, with a strong 30-year revenue and capital forecast. It also showed that the investment in existing stock was affordable. The transfer of cash to do this, from appropriate budgets, was laid out. All borrowing would be in the context of each individual scheme. These would be fully funded in the Capital Programme.
The Panel discussed suggested content for a recommendation. This included advising Cabinet to be mindful of wider considerations not covered within the report, such as costs to the General Fund and the costs of homelessness. Another point raised was that the forecast borrowing on the HRA was higher than the prudent level set by the Council’s ‘golden rule’ for the first ten years but could be brought down by Year 10.
Another suggestion was to direct Cabinet’s attention to the passage stating that the Heart of Greenstead project would not necessarily deliver value for money for the HRA, and to urge Cabinet to quantify the additional benefits of the project that it was taking into account, and to explore if some of the funding should come from other appropriate sources. A Panel member described the project as being political rather than practical, criticised the lack of detail on this in the 30-Year Plan and argued that the health effects of the project needed to be given. Councillor King, Leader of the Council, distinguished the difference between the whole of the Heart of Greenstead project, and the later residential redevelopment phase. The content in the report underlined the case-by-case decisions to be taken on each element. The Panel discussed views on Heart of Greenstead. This included one member’s view that there had not been a sense of urgency in past discussions, and another raising surprise that the Council was intending to break its ‘golden rule’ each year, going on to advise that a whole new business case would be needed prior to any decision on Phase Two of the project.
Julia Hovells, Savills, explained that the level of borrowing proposed was not outside the prudential code. The 1.25% insurance cover ratio was quite high, in comparison. Whilst the Plan was outside of the ‘golden rule’, it did not breach the prudential code. There was a difference between the prudential code and the prudential levels of borrowing.
Councillor Rowe requested that it be formally recorded that he was in opposition to the 30 Year Business Plan presented.
RECOMMENDED to CABINET that Cabinet, in its consideration of the proposed update to the 30 Year Housing Revenue Account Business Plan, be mindful of and consider: -
- Wider considerations not covered within the Business Plan, such as the cost impacts of homelessness on the General Fund, and whether these are relevant to the revenue account of the HRA
- The penultimate paragraph on page five of the Business Plan document, which notes, ‘that forecast borrowing in the HRA is higher than might be considered ‘prudent’ when measured against a notional interest cover “golden rule” of 1.25 at the outset, but that the level of borrowing can be brought down to a ‘prudent’ level in risk management terms by year 10’
- The stating that the Heart of Greenstead project ‘does not necessarily deliver value for money for the HRA in financial terms’, the stated non-financial value to the area and community, and whether Cabinet should explore the potential for the housing element to be provided elsewhere, and other appropriate sources of funding, such as from the General Fund, and seek assurances that the project will provide value for money before it proceeds
RESOLVED that SCRUTINY PANEL welcomes the proposed accelerated 15 acquisitions and buy backs from 2029/30 to 2026/27.