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Councillor Tim Young attended and, with the Chair’s consent, addressed the Panel to raise concern that the survey about the Budget, which had been sent to councillors, was only two questions long and therefore too simple and flawed. Councillor Young asked that this approach was not used in the future. The survey had identified public relations, marketing and communications work as being most identified by elected members as an appropriate place in which to make savings. Councillor Young noted a small saving in this area, but argued that £600k spending was a lot for such work and requested a breakdown of this total spend, to identify ways to make savings. This would be needed quickly, to be considered when Full Council received the Budget.
The Portfolio Holder for Resources thanked the staff who had produced the draft Budget. It had required an immense effort to close this budget, given the situation. Thanks were also given to those staff who had worked at the Council, but whose employment by the Council may be coming to an end. Council Tax would rise in line with other local authorities and, after some years of drawing on reserves, there would be elements of contribution back to the General Fund reserves. The pay award was covered and, due to this, there was being a reduction in the number of staff positions. The Fit for the Future Programme was introduced, with Appendix C giving more information, broken down by service area.
The Portfolio Holder explained that the Budget survey for councillors had been made to be very open and not prescriptive, which was why it was so short. Councillors had been given an in-person briefing, in the spirit of managing the Council’s finances together, and this had been successful at giving details and promoting discussion.
Chris Hartgrove, Deputy Section 151 Officer, described this as a prudent budget. An initial identified £1.44m deficit had grown to £2.4m, as additional detail was gained, but this deficit had been eliminated. The Capital Programme and General Fund were now in line with the previous forecast, and forecasting had now moved from a three-year to a five-year span.
Councillor King, Leader of the Council, explained the strategic intentions behind the Fir for the Future Programme. No-one wished to increase charges to residents, but this was given as necessary, due to falls in central government funding, and the need to avoid having to issue a Section 114 report, by reforming Council spending. The Council would withdraw from some services and lower costs where possible. The strategy would be bottom up, mindful of social benefits and the need to care for the most vulnerable. The Communications Team was given as being important in explaining the changes being made, advertising the Council’s work and revenue-generating events and attractions. Scrutiny Panel was asked to look at the Budget strategy, with more detail to come in coming weeks.
A Panel member asked how exposed the Council was to potential dramatic changes in interest rates and for assurance regarding the security of reserves banked by the Council. The Portfolio Holder explained the analysis of the macroeconomic situation which had been carried out, and the independent views sought. A pause and reduction in the capital programme would lead to less debt financing and greater investment. More borrowing was being looked at for the long term, but in the short term there would be lower levels of borrowing and more investment, leading to less exposure to costs from interest rates. The Deputy S151 Officer explained that an advantage of the shared services model was the availability of a wider pool of advice from consultants, giving a more diverse range of input and views. Regarding safety of deposits, the Council maintained a list of places recommended for savings, which was updated daily.
Further questions were asked by the Panel regarding interest rates, with one member stating that the Council was borrowing £132m at fixed, long-term interest rates, whilst holding investments of between £40m and £80m, subject to variable interest rates, and saying that this meant that the increase in the interest rates had led to savings, but represented an unnecessary credit risk. The view was given that a Treasury Management Strategy Statement was needed in order for councillors to consider whether the Council should be borrowing and investing so much, with one Panel member stating that this was a necessity before councillors were asked to support the Budget. The Deputy S151 Officer agreed that the position regarding borrowing and investment, as put forward by Panel members, had been the case but the approach was now to reduce the amounts involved. The Treasury Management Strategy Statement would be produced once updated; owing to capacity constraints in the Finance Team, this would not be ready prior to the Budget being considered. It was expected to come to Governance and Audit Committee in March 2024.
A Panel member commended the Leader’s openness and work of officers, but complained at the lack of benchmark figures from separate service areas and that those which were available did not match the figures contained within the Budget. The suggestion was made by the Panel member that benchmarking should be carried out by all service areas, and include comparisons against private sector companies, in order to identify where cuts could be made.
Panel members agreed with comments by Councillor Young that the survey sent to elected members was too simplistic and concern was raised that it did not garner useful responses.
A concern was raised that the Council would not manage to achieve the elimination of deficit and projected increase in reserves detailed in the Medium Term Financial Forecast [MTFF]. A Panel member suggested that the Council was likely to reach a £5m deficit in 2024-25. The Portfolio Holder was asked how he expected the Council to eliminate the Budget deficit and provide the £153k identified for adding to reserves. More clarity was requested in the displaying of cumulative deficit projections for the years shown, and a reserves statement was asked for, to show the current situation and constraints within which the Council would need to work, and to be consistent with the reserves position. A Panel member argued that the Fit for the Future Programme should start by reflecting the need to reduce staffing levels at the Council which, in that member’s view, had not been attempted as yet.
The Portfolio Holder argued that the Council’s headcount had changed, with reductions at the Amphora companies, and changes at Colchester Borough Homes [CBH]. There had been a reduction in FTE employment over time, whilst the Council also dealt with Covid-19. In response to further queries regarding FTE employment levels and staff pay levels reducing in real terms, the Portfolio Holder emphasised the latest pay award, and agreed to seek further detail on the figures for FTE employment.
The Deputy S151 Officer clarified that the table at 3.4 of Appendix C showed the budget deficits forecast over the five years of the MTFF. The Council had a legal obligation to produce a balanced budget, meaning that it had to eliminate these deficits as it proceeded. These were projected deficits and so the Council could not act to eliminate them all in advance. By year five, the table shoed the cumulative structural deficit of £2.8m that would need to be met by the end of the time period.
A Panel member complained that the figures did not add up, and that the cumulative deficit figure given was not the actual cumulative deficit. The Leader of the Council offered for an explanatory note to be produced in order to explain and clarify the content of table 3.4 of Appendix C. The Panel member underlined the Panel’s role in scrutinising the Budget and giving a view to Cabinet regarding the assurances provided to support it. It was argued that the Panel could not do this if the information with which it was presented was not clear and did not show what it purported to show, and that the budget could not be valid without the requested clarity. The Panel member also stated that no data had been given on ‘Fit for the Future’, which meant that the Panel would not be able to give a view on whether this was a safe way for the Council to proceed.
The Deputy S151 Officer stated that a reserves statement could be presented, but that the final accounts would be needed in order to give accuracy on this. Owing to greater levels of risk, it was felt prudent to increase the minimum level of reserves to £3m, plus a contingency fund for the Fit for the Future Programme, to cover any shortfall in savings targets, and to invest where this is judged to be prudent. Other costs might also arise, and their impacts covered. The Finance Team were aware of the 2023-24 budget trajectory and the reduction in useable earmarked reserves, down by £5m since March 2022.
The Leader explained that reserves had had to be allocated, and the administration was trying to share information to improve confidence, including on Fit for the Future. Not all information on service changes could be shared, as this had not all been decided as yet. The need for robust project management was underlined and was being addressed, with more information to be provided to councillors at the earliest opportunity. The aim was to provide this for the Budget paper due to go to Full Council for approval. The Leader emphasised the need to understand the challenge of showing changes to a large organisation, giving clarity in figures including those relating to employment levels. It was acknowledged that performance should be examined across the Council, for benchmarking purposes.
The Panel questioned what stress testing had been done on the basket of assumptions upon which the Budget rested. The Portfolio Holder explained that the Administration had previously looked at a range of scenarios, from the higher, mid-point and lower ends of expectations, but admitted that it was hard to make predictions. This was why external advice was sought. The Budget assumed an inflation rate of 3%, so rises in inflation above that would mean that the Budget would need to be revisited and the effects mitigated. The Council was agile and could make necessary changes, but some things could not be forecast, such as the result of the next pay award negotiation.
Further concern was raised about the lack of background information on the Fit for the Future Programme, and it was asked why these couldn’t have been provided to the Panel for consideration in confidential session, and whether the information was not yet ready. The Portfolio Holder stated that the information could be made ready and provided to Governance and Audit Committee. This was about delivering a reduction in staffing and work done at the Council, so as to deliver balanced budgets. The Programme was to be detailed at a session of Senior Leadership Board on 1 February 2024, along with its delivery plans. Assumptions regarding charging for entry to Hollytrees Museum did factor in an expected fall in visitor numbers. The figures for savings were put forward, following consideration by Cabinet and Management.
The Chief Executive Officer underlined that the Budget report held sufficient detail to give assurance to the Section 151 Officer and Deputy S151 Officer that the Budget could proceed. Huge work had been done in preparation for the Fit for the Future Programme, which went to the Leadership Team in December 2023 and would come back for Senior Leadership Board to consider on 1 February 2024. The almost-final form of the Fit for the Future Programme would then come to Scrutiny Panel on 13 February 2024, prior to Full Council then receiving the Budget report later that month.
The Panel considered the Housing Revenue Account [HRA]. A Panel member gave the view that the Management Fee for CBH produced a very high cost per property for the Arm’s Length Management Organisation [ALMO] comparing this with management costs per property for Housing Associations. £6m had been given as a figure for depreciation, with a major reserve for repairs. The Panel member noted the complicated accounting.
The Leader explained that the Council’s view of CBH was that the company shows strong performance and low costs for its work, but welcomed the testing of this view. CBH managed a large and complex estate, whilst also managing services such as those for tackling homelessness. The Chief Executive explained that the review of the HRA would be led by Lindsay Barker, Deputy Chief Executive, and would be a deep dive look into the HRA and affordability of the housing stock into the future. CBH staff were under great pressure, due to the housing crisis, with emotional and financial pressures being considerable.
A Panel member remarked that the Boston Square for CBH key performance indicators [KPIs] was seen by Governance and Audit Committee and that, if there were concerns that direct comparisons were not being provided, this needed to be communicated to CBH to see what they then present. The Leader commented that the selections for benchmarking were comparable organisations, and that benchmarking would be part of the HRE review by the Deputy Chief Executive. The Portfolio Holder for Resources clarified that there might be some disposal of isolated assets, but the general stock under the HRA would not be included, and would not become part of the corporate landlord model. CBH had had high performance and low cost results for years, and this could be added as extra appendices.
A member of the Panel recommended benchmarking CBH and the HRA together, and suggested benchmarking CBH against Swan, Eastlight and Clarion, which were all housing associations.
The Scrutiny Panel further discussed the suggested production of a Treasury Management Strategy [TMS] Statement and a statement on reserves. The Portfolio Holder stated that a working draft could be shared of both of these, with forecasts. The TMS had helped the base budget this year and showed that it was delivering. A Panel member restated the wish to know details on borrowing and investments, and in the respective interest rates. The Deputy Section 151 Officer agreed that it would be possible to draw out and show the interest rates on borrowing and investments. This would be easer than providing an updated TMS Statement in line with the 2021 Code.
More detail was requested regarding the budgeting for repair of the Town Hall roof, where £1m had been set aside to address the issues. The Portfolio Holder gave assurance that repair costs were being tightened down. The Leader committed to providing adequate resources to carry out the repair. The final cost was not yet known, but would be reflected in the pricing of work, where possible. The Town Hall was described as a key building, albeit not well used and in poor shape. Richard Block, Chief Operating Officer, gave assurance that the Council was aware of the need for wide engagement with stakeholders over the future of the building.
The Panel queried why £1m had been allocated for ICT spending, in light of the expected reductions in employment levels. The Portfolio Holder argued that a prudent level had been set, with revenue costs including license costs, including for Microsoft and Capita software. The Chief Operating Officer emphasised the need for transformation and change, with investment into IT making this possible. Councillor oversight would be crucial for the future ICT Strategy, before spending is allocated. A Panel member noted that most of the ICT cost related to the revenue spending, for example on annual licenses, rather than being capital spending, and argued that a flexible approach was needed, rather than buying and storing a lot of hardware. The Portfolio Holder committed to seeking detail on the breakdown between revenue and capital spending being budgeted for ICT. Investment in programmes would be used to drive channel shift, and it was reasonable to include this in the Budget. The Deputy Section 151 Officer confirmed the capitalizable expenditure, but agreed that the point on revenue spending was valid. Material Requirements Planning values went into revenue costs.
The Portfolio Holder and Leader were asked why there was no information available on the £7.7m included for enabling infrastructure, including work on a junction of the A12. A Panel member ventured that, given the size of this amount, a business case was needed to lay out how it was to be used, and that there was insufficient information given to justify its allocation. The Leader noted the good terms of the relationship between officers and members of the Council and Essex County Council, and that 8.1 of the Cabinet report covered this subject. The Leader accepted that a cross reference would have been helpful for the Panel, but gave assurances that there was enough depth and detail to give confidence regarding the cost estimate published, overseen by the Deputy Chief Executive. The Leader was told that Panel members did not doubt the scrutiny carried out by officers, but a Panel member maintained that the Panel had not been given the information necessary for it to judge whether a sensible approach was being taken. The Leader noted this point, but pointed out that this had already been considered by Governance and Audit Committee and Cabinet. The Council had already agreed to the course of action to which this £7.7m related.
A Panel member criticised the perceived lack of an appraisal to support the Capital Programme, arguing that the Town Deal had meant to be £17-£17m, but that the report only detailed £4m of this, for the Heart of Greenstead project. The Leader was asked to show where the balance was, and whether funding might be lost if not allocated. The Leader gave assurance that no Town Deal funding had been lost, and offered to follow up to give reassurance on this. The Deputy Section 151 Officer clarified that the table showed current plans for future spending on Town Deal work, but did not cover past spending. The scheme history was shown on the right of the table to show totals for spending. The total approved budget reflected earlier years, and the Deputy Section 151 Officer offered to find any answers to questions regarding specific schemes.
In answer to questions about borrowing in the past year, and any potential plans to borrow more, the Deputy Section 151 Officer explained that this would be covered in the borrowing analysis which had been promised.
The Panel considered the breakdown of funding within the HRA, noting the £205m in HRA spending projected for the coming five years. One Panel member complained that the long projections made were unrealistic regarding how to finance social housing and argued that alternative ways to provide social housing should be examined. The Deputy Section 151 Officer explained that there would be a refreshed 30-year business plan to lay out the affordability of what was being planned. The Portfolio Holder highlighted problems caused by rent reductions imposed by central government, and the turbulent times experienced. Confidence was held in the figures by the Council’s Administration, and that the change regarding affordable rents would lead to improved viability.
The Portfolio Holder was asked why the Vineyard Street and Britannia car parks were included in the Capital Programme, but that no income loss from their closure was included in the MTFF. The Portfolio Holder agreed to get additional information on this and the assumptions behind what was laid out. The belief was that most of the users of these car parks would shift to use other Council car parks, with the closures leading to the Council no longer having to pay out on business rates for their operation. The Leader emphasised that this was looked at in terms of the full Parking Strategy.
RECOMMENDED to CABINET that the following further information be produced to support Council’s consideration of the 2024-25 Revenue Budget and Medium-Term Financial Forecast: -
a) A statement of reserves for the period of the 2024-25 Revenue Budget, consistent with the reserves position;
b) A Treasury Management Strategy Statement or further information on the current position on Treasury Management.
c) A supplementary note for the Medium Term Financial Forecast to provide clarity and explanation regarding Appendix C and the cumulative deficit figures regarding the General Fund budget from 2024/25 through to 2028/29